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November 01, 2004
Latest Polls
Current Electoral Vote Predictor 2004. Well this guy was up all night compiling polls. There were no less than 50 done on Halloween.
Here is how it looks Kerry 298 to Bush 231. The big variables are that Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida are all statistically tied. He's estimating that Pennsylvania will probably go Kerry and Ohio to Bush, so it is Florida all over again.
Most interesting data is on the youth vote. Zogby did an SMS poll of 3,000 young votes, they were 55% Kerry. But, no one knows if they'll actually show up at the polls or have a brewski and watch starsky and hutch.
In some ways it is great that so much depends on folks that we are leaving the country too. Now let's see if people are motivated to actually vote. Registration is easy, you do it in line at the university bookstore, but voting is different.
Fingers crossed.
Posted by rich at November 1, 2004 10:29 AM
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