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October 31, 2004

Washington Post Map

washingtonpost.com - Electoral College Map. Their map as of early Sunday was more honest in that it showed the states as too close to call.

Net, net, Bush 227, Kerry 232 with 79 up for grabs.

The up for grabs includes Florida (27), Ohio (20), Minnesota (10), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (7) and New Mexico (5).

Their Sunday article is great.

In terms of state-by-state data, interesting news includes:

  • Pennsylvania is now tilting towards Kerry because of Philadelphia. Also Washington (thank god!), Oregon, Main and Michigan are now moving to Kerry. Hawaii is still holding on.
  • Bush has gained Colorado, Missouri, Nevad and West Virginia now
  • Florida and Ohio are now tossups. Ohio has a realy weak Democratic Party, but ACT have moved in massive people, but Republicans control all the major offices. Kerry would have to win in Cleveland, Akron and Youngtown to win against the south.
  • Florida is of course key and the Republicans are pretty sure they can carry the state.

Now if Michigan stays Democratic and Bush/Kerry split Florida and Ohio, then the Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa races become important. Gore won all three last time, but Kerry isn't even a Gore here.

Posted by rich at October 31, 2004 02:18 AM

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