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May 05, 2004
Latest Poll
MyDD :: General 2004. I never know how to read these polls and whether they are right. In any case, this is a close election. From Mydd.com:
National Two-Party Popular Vote Projection
Kerry: 50.0
Bush: 50.0
Status: Too Close to Call
Kerry has made up nearly two points as a result of Bush's recent dip in job approval. In particular, the new Q-poll was worse for Bush than the now old Pew poll.
Electoral Vote Projection:
Kerry: 231
Bush: 227
To Close to Call: 80 (FL, IA, NM, OH, PA)
Kerry is only up two in the latest Oregon poll, but he is nine ahead of Bush on favorable / unfavorable ratings in the state, and Bush's approval ratings are, um, not good (5% rate his performance as "excellent"). Thus, Oregon is now "lean Kerry." Combine this with the latest NH poll, Kerry has taken his first, very slim lead in the two weeks I have been calculating the GECC.
Posted by rich at May 5, 2004 11:56 PM
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